Rasmussen Reports
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4 hours ago · The FiveThirtyEight national polling average is quite close — Biden trails by just 2.3 points. But national polls are meaningless in an election that will likely be decided in a small universe ...
4 hours ago · Additionally, FiveThirtyEight simulations indicate that Vice President Kamala Harris—Biden's most likely replacement—currently has significantly slimmer chances of defeating Trump, winning ...
3 hours ago · She continues to be dogged by low approval ratings, which hover around 37% in polling averages compiled by FiveThirtyEight - a level similar to both Mr Biden and Trump.
2 hours ago · For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).
3 hours ago · Kamala Harris is, however, far from the only alternative to Mr Biden being discussed. The list of potential Biden replacements ranges from a cadre of popular governors - Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, Gavin Newsom of California, Pennsylvania’s Josh Shapiro and Illinois’ JB Pritzker - to Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and California Congressman Ro Khanna.
4 hours ago · In the Pennsylvania Senate race, FiveThirtyEight’s polling average showed Republican Mehmet Oz leading Democrat John Fetterman by 0.5 percentage points. He lost by almost 5 points.
1 day ago · The discrepancy between the two sets of simulations may indicate that Trump's popularity is waning. However, Nathaniel Rakich, FiveThirtyEight's senior election analyst, said the election is "a pure toss-up" this far from November 5.
