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  1. 1 day ago · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1.

  2. 2 days ago · Developed with a team of scholars at Columbia University, the forecast combines national and state-level polls with fundamental data about the state of the economy, historical voting patterns and...

  3. 1 day ago · Our latest forecast shows a toss-up race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Harris has a 56-in-100 chance of winning the majority of Electoral College...

    • G. Elliott Morris
  4. 4 days ago · In probability theory, the expected value (also called expectation, expectancy, expectation operator, mathematical expectation, mean, expectation value, or first moment) is a generalization of the weighted average.

  5. Sep 23, 2024 · Test your knowledge of the "Mutiny" episode from A&E's adaptations of the "Hornblower" novels. This episode is Part 1 of a story (continued in the episode "Retribution") full of action, plot twists and a brilliant ensemble of characters. A multiple-choice quiz by giulia_syd. Estimated time: 4 mins. 1.

  6. 1 day ago · Makin’s odds may well drift after he drew the widest in the 16-horse field of the $1.38 million Group 1 Singapore Gold Cup (2,000m) on Oct 5. Regarded as the third-best runner after Daniel Meagher’s crack duo of Lim’s Kosciuszko and Lim’s Saltoro, the last-start winner is unproven at the distance, though.

  7. Sep 23, 2024 · Once the implied probability for an outcome is known—as represented by odds—decisions can be made regarding whether or not to place a bet or wager. The three types of odds are fractional,...