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Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about. Click to read Silver Bulletin, by Nate Silver, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight, a website that uses data and analysis to cover politics, sports, and culture. He also hosts several podcasts on topics such as AI, elections, and governors.
Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [2]
Apr 17, 2024 · The model will run here at Silver Bulletin: I’ll publish polling averages for everyone, and probabilistic forecasts and additional commentary and data for paying subscribers. However, the pace will be different this year.
Latest 538 Headlines. May 31. Poll numbers could shift in wake of Trump’s guilty verdict. 538's Nathaniel Rakich joins the podcast to discuss the possible political implications of the guilty verdict. May 31. Trump can’t appeal until after sentencing.
Nov 3, 2020 · See the latest odds and scenarios for the 2020 presidential election between Trump and Biden, based on state polls and other data. Explore the interactive forecast, the Electoral College map, the tipping points and the possible outcomes.
Nov 3, 2020 · Nate Silver analyzes the polls and the Electoral College map for the final presidential forecast before the 2020 election. He explains why Biden is favored but Trump still has a chance, and how a small polling error could change the outcome.
